Developing El Niño Could Lead to Mild Winter If Current Forecast - WXOW News 19 La Crosse, WI – News, Weather and Sports |

Developing El Niño Could Lead to Mild Winter If Current Forecast Holds

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La Crosse, WI (WXOW) - Weather this spring and summer has been a little cooler than average and we’ve been rather wet as well. But thankfully, the wet and cool conditions won't necessarily run into the fall and winter.

“There usually is no correlation from one season, something is going to happen the next season,” said Jeff Boyne, Forecaster at the National Weather Service Office in La Crosse.

Of more interest to our fall and winter weather are larger scale weather patterns. And this year, El Niño may make a return.

“The Climate models are suggesting we'd see an 80% chance of an El Niño,” said Boyne. “Now El Niños can go either warmer than normal or colder than normal. Right now this one is forecasted to be warmer than normal. Whether that occurs or not is still the big question.”

If you're scratching your head right now and thinking 'doesn't El Niño mean a warm winter?' you're not alone.

El Niños basically in the 1960s into the 70s were actually colder than normal,” said Boyne. “But a lot of us remember what happened during the 1980s and 1990s when we had very warm winters from El Niño.”

And this winter, while the models are predicting warmer temperatures, there's still a chance we could stay cool.

“A lot of it's going to depend on how the El Niño develops and whether the warm waters linger off the British Columbia coast,” said Boyne. “If those warm waters continue, there's potential that we could see a colder than normal winter.”

Boyne says we'll have a better grasp on the winter weather forecast by early October. Until then, sit back and relax! Remember, it's only the end of July.

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